Tuesday, October 21, 2008

TIPP Daily

Obama 46.9 (46.7)
McCain 40.9 (41.4)

Definitely not inline with Pew. pollster.com seems to think Obama's cell-phone advantage is 2-3% so 6% + 3% at least gets its it consistent with Gallup Expanded and close to the MOE for the Pew poll.

GWU had a national daily out today, Obama +1 So in one day the accuracy of pollsters is a MOE of at least 14% and maybe as high as 18% Cell phones, turnout, and racism must be making this a very difficult election to poll. By this point in both the 2000 & 2004 races the polls were more or less agreeing with each other within their MOE.

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